
Just under the wire, here are my predictions for this evening’s 84th Annual Academy Awards. As I’ve said before, I can’t remember a year in which I was less interested. The whole thing just seems off this year. Not only because of the Brett Ratner/Eddie Murphy Fiasco and not only because Michael Fassbender was denied a nomination. So were Ryan Gosling, Albert Brooks and director Nicolas Winding Refn for Drive. Drive was almost completely shut out. Nick Nolte was worthy of a nomination for Warrior, but so were Tom Hardy and Joel Edgerton. There were several performances in Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy that warranted recognition along with Gary Oldman’s long overdue nomination. Again, Tom Hardy was worthy, but especially Colin Firth and Mark Strong deserved mention.
Jean Dujardin practically has it sown up at this point and while I can say, at least he’s not George Clooney, whom I like, but as I’ve said The Descendants was not the movie for which he should be honored. But about Dujardin I have to say, and remember I did like The Artist, he gives an excellent performance, but you have to know that there's something missing when everyone loves the dog the most*, and I have no idea what criteria the Academy used, but I’d like to know how they can consider that he gave a better performance than Fassbender did in Shame. Never in their careers have either Brad Pitt or George Clooney turned in a performance like Michael Fassbender’s either. It would never be asked of them. They are personalities, movie stars if you will, more than actors at this point. (And it has very little to do with actual nudity, lest anyone think I’m so easily distracted. Fassbender’s performance itself was what was naked and raw, like watching an open wound), Hell, Fassbender was worthy in any of the four big films he put out this year.
My original thinking was all wrong in that it’s not that Demian Bichir got Fassbender’s nomination, but rather Pitt and Clooney who elbowed out both Fassbender and Ryan Gosling or Michael Shannon for Take Shelter. (But Pitt and Clooney get nominated so that they will show up to the ceremony and walk the red carpet and people at home will tune in to watch.)
Then there's the whole debacle with Best Original Song. It’s not just the fact that “The Keeper” wasn't nominated and it really deserved to be (and I'm not alone in my thinking), but the fact that there are only two and they won't even be performed! We’re going to get a performance by Cirque du Soleil instead?! W.T.F.?
Those two categories aside, it saddens me that it’s just about a foregone conclusion that The Artist will win Best Picture. The Artist was completely charming and delightful and I enjoyed it while I was watching it. Is that all we require of a Best Picture? I haven’t seen it again. That to me is a measure of a memorable film. In this day and age when home viewing options are more and more convenient and the lag time between a theatrical release and release on VOD, dvd or blu-ray grows shorter and shorter, for me to forgo a newer film and fork over my hard earned cash to see a film again and again in the theater, means it’s something special, in my opinion. I’ve seen Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy three times and I cannot wait to get my greedy hands on the dvd on March 20. I’ve seen Hugo four times in both 3D and 2D. It continues to move me. Every damn time it takes my breath away.
It is ironic that The Artist and Hugo both deal with similar periods in film history, albeit from different perspectives. But while The Artist will forever seem like a novelty to me; a silent, black and white film made in the 21st century, the story itself is a series of clichés strung together. Hugo is in a word, magical (not to mention technically far superior. Martin Scorsese used 3D with the deft and sure hand of an artist – no pun intended- to enhance the film and the viewer’s experience. Not to make use of a gimmick or to squeeze a few more bucks out of each ticket) It was an example of a master at work. Martin Scorsese, the man who gave us Mean Streets, Taxi Driver, Raging Bull, Goodfellas etc, made a movie his 12 year old daughter could love and it was brilliant.
I do maintain that The Artist and Hugo would make one helluva double feature, but for me, Hugo was the Best Picture of the Year, hands down.
In any case, since I didn’t get a vote, here are my predictions **
and my picks if I had #. I'll be back later with your actual winners list!
BEST PICTURE
**The Artist
The Descendants
The Help
#Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
War Horse
Tree of Life
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
BEST DIRECTOR
**Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Alexander Payne The Descendants
#Martin Scorsese, Hugo
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
Terrence Malick, The Tree of Life
BEST ACTRESS
Rooney Mara, The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
#Viola Davis, The Help
**Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
BEST ACTOR
**Jean Dujardin, The Artist
George Clooney, The Descendants
Brad Pitt, Moneyball
#Gary Oldman, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
Demian Bichir, A Better Life
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
#Berenice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
**Octavia Spencer, The Help
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
**Christopher Plummer, Beginners
Jonah Hill, Moneyball
Kenneth Branagh, My Week with Marilyn
#Nick Nolte, Warrior
Max Von Sydow, Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
**Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Annie Mumolo and Kristen Wiig, Bridesmaids
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
#J.C. Chandor, Margin Call
Asgar Fahredi, A Separation
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
**Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash, The Descendants
John Logan, Hugo
Stan Chervin, Aaron Sorkin and Steven Zaillian, Moneyball
George Clooney, Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon, The Ides of March
#Bridget O’Connor & Peter Straughan, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
BEST ART DIRECTION
**Laurence Bennett, The Artist
Stuart Craig, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
#Dante Ferretti, Hugo
Rick Carter; Lee Sandales War Horse
Anne Seibel; Hélène Dubreuil Midnight in Paris
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
**Guillaume Schiffman, The Artist
Jeff Cronenweth, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Robert Richardson, Hugo
#Emmanuel Lubezki, The Tree of Life
Janusz Kaminski, War Horse
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Mark Bridges, The Artist
#Michael O'Connor, Jane Eyre
Sandy Powell, Hugo
**Lisy Christl, Anonymous
Arianne Phillips, W.E.
BEST FILM EDITING
**Michel Hazanavicius and Anne-Sophie Bion, The Artist
#Thelma Schoonmaker, Hugo
Kirk Baxter and Angus Wall, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Christopher Tellefsen, Moneyball
Kevin Tent, The Descendants
BEST MAKEUP
Albert Nobbs
**#Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
The Iron Lady
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
**Ludovic Bourse, The Artist
#Howard Shore, Hugo
Alberto Iglesias, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
John Williams, War Horse
John Williams, The Adventures of Tintin
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
**#"Man or Muppet," The Muppets
“Real in Rio”, Rio
BEST SOUND EDITING
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
#Hugo
**Transformers: Dark of the Moon
Drive
War Horse
BEST SOUND MIXING
**#Hugo
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
War Horse
The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo
Moneyball
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
**Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2
Hugo
#Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Transformers: Dark of the Moon
Real Steel
BEST ANIMATED FILM FEATURE
**#Rango
Puss in Boots
Kung Fu Panda 2
A Cat in Paris
Chico & Rita
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
If a Tree Falls: A Story of the Earth Liberation Front
Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
Pina
Undefeated
Hell and Back Again
BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FEATURE
Bullhead, Belgium
Footnote, Israel
In Darkness, Poland
Monsieur Lazhar, Canada
**#A Separation, Iran
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*Props to my homeslice C. for that one!